Comments on: How Warren Buffett Thinks About Risk https://finmasters.com/how-warren-buffett-thinks-about-risk/ Master Your Finances and Reach Your Goals Tue, 05 Dec 2023 13:43:37 +0000 hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.4.3 By: Dillon Jacobs https://finmasters.com/how-warren-buffett-thinks-about-risk/#comment-943 Thu, 17 Mar 2016 04:58:38 +0000 https://www.vintagevalueinvesting.com/?p=2761#comment-943 In reply to Michel Charbonneau.

Hi Michel thanks for reading!!! Great points. Your first point was something that I don’t think I really understood until after I wrote this article. Of course, that doesn’t always mean that a stock price has accurately captured risk, and often a stock price can be dead wrong in its interpretation of present and future events surrounding a company. Or, supply-demand forces might be affecting the stock price in the short-term. Obviously this is what value investors live for – to uncover mispriced stocks. In the end, valuation is as much of an art as a science. I think the important thing to remember is that you can’t stop your thinking process with models and equations, and that you have to look at the entire investment both quantitatively and qualitatively.

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By: Michel Charbonneau https://finmasters.com/how-warren-buffett-thinks-about-risk/#comment-942 Tue, 15 Mar 2016 15:42:28 +0000 https://www.vintagevalueinvesting.com/?p=2761#comment-942 Very good article, thanks for sharing. Beta vs risk is always an interesting subject and I agree that beta should not be relied upon as a measure of risk. Two things however that I would like to mention:
(1) the fact that beta uses the stock price does not mean that it is only backward looking. Often, investors will anticipate an upcoming risk (or expecting future good news) and the price will reflect this anticipation ahead of time i.e. get lower in case of a perceived risk or higher in the case of expected good news .
(2) There is no formal way, i.e. the equivalent to a law of nature (a law in physics for example) that instruct investors how to value a business. A formal law provides both the equation(s) and the way its parameters have to be computed. At best, we have only the equation(s) (DCF for example), but it does not tell us how to compute the interest rates. Since there is no formal law, valuing a business becomes a matter of convention(s). If most participants use CAPM for example to compute the interest rate (cost of capital) to be used in the DCF, then beta (as a convention) becomes a very useful tool in valuation

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